Week 4 NFL Picks: Over/Under Projections, Odds Advice and Line Spreads

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Those bettors who aren’t in love with the idea of an upset might shy away from Week 4 NFL lines.

Upset after upset plagued the Week 3 odds out of Las Vegas. The Minnesota Vikings took down the Carolina Panthers, the New York Giants fell to the Washington Redskins, the Philadelphia Eagles walloped the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Atlanta Falcons upset the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football.

The trend one weekend ago might have proved fruitful for many bettors, too. Those who are worried about games becoming more unpredictable than ever shouldn’t fret much, though, as the league realigns itself early on every year.

An early look at Week 4 suggests a return to normalcy, so long as bettors apply the lessons learned a week ago.

       

         

NFL Week 4 Odds

Odds courtesy of Odds Shark.

     

Miami at Cincinnati (-7)

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Week 4 starts off with a soft floater over the plate.

The Cincinnati Bengals get to welcome the Miami Dolphins to town on Thursday Night Football in a predictable affair. The visitors have won a single game this year and needed overtime to do so—against the Cleveland Browns.

Cincinnati hasn’t looked great by any means but remains leagues ahead of Miami. The Bengals haven’t had linebacker Vontaze Burfict or tight end Tyler Eifert, so losses to Pittsburgh and Denver over a brutal stretch to start the season aren’t that shocking.

The Bengals have felt Burfict’s absence in a big way, but Miami isn’t much of a test. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has thrown five touchdowns to four picks, and the offense has gotten all of 16 carries from Arian Foster. The quarterback happens to lead the team in rushing.

Joe Schad of the Palm Beach Post painted a dire picture for the Dolphins:

A lot of Dolphins on this injury report pic.twitter.com/FRS4dh2ISG

— Joe Schad (@schadjoe) September 26, 2016

With the Cincinnati rushing attack …

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