Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

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The Oakland Raiders (12-3) will try to sweep the Denver Broncos (8-7) and win the AFC West title Sunday as small road underdogs due to the absence of starting quarterback Derek Carr. The Raiders would figure to be small favorites if they had Carr, who suffered a broken leg last week in a 33-25 win over the Indianapolis Colts as 3.5-point home chalk. It was their eighth victory in nine games overall.

Point spread: The Broncos opened as 3.5-point favorites; the total was 42 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via OddsShark computer: 23.4-20.3 Broncos (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Raiders can cover the spread

Oakland is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine games, with six of the eight wins SU decided by six points or more. The Raiders will obviously be hard-pressed to win without Carr, but the defending Super Bowl champion Broncos have nothing to play for in this spot. They have no shot at making the playoff field this …

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