Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

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The Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) will look to bounce back from another tough home loss when they host the Denver Broncos (8-6) as small home favorites for their Week 16 Sunday night matchup.

The Chiefs have won eight of their last 10 games, but the two losses have come by identical 19-17 scores at Arrowhead Stadium, where they have lost five straight against the Broncos.

     

Point spread: The Chiefs opened as 3.5-point favorites; the total was 38 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via OddsShark computer: 28.4-16.2 Chiefs (NFL picks on every game)

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Why the Broncos can cover the spread

In addition to going 5-0 straight up in the past five meetings at Kansas City, Denver has also gone 6-1 against the spread in the last seven games played there.

Granted, many of those were …

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