New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

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The New England Patriots (11-2) can clinch the AFC East for the eighth straight year—along with a first-round bye in the playoffs—with a win over the Denver Broncos (8-5) on Sunday as small road favorites. The Patriots saw their postseason run end a year ago in Denver, and they could hurt the playoff chances of the defending Super Bowl champion Broncos with a victory.

              

Point spread: The Patriots opened as three-point favorites; the total was 44 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via OddsShark computer: 25.8-19.6, Patriots (NFL picks on every game)

               

Why the Patriots can cover the spread

It may sound like a broken record, but a motivated Tom Brady is nearly unbeatable. The future Hall of Famer proved that again Monday night when New England defeated the Baltimore Ravens 30-23 and covered the spread as a six-point home favorite.

Brady equaled a season high with 406 passing yards and remains in the …

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