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NFL Predictions Week 13: Odds, Predictions and Advice for Ideal Underdogs
- Updated: November 30, 2016
Upsets are back on the table, folks.
A crazy Week 12 featuring an erratic holiday slate didn’t offer many. The Seattle Seahawks took a loss, but otherwise things pretty much shook out as expected.
There’s no chance Week 13 will be a ho-hum venture for bettors who like to play it safe. It is a week starting with a bang on Thursday Night Football, with the close odds between the Dallas Cowboys and Minnesota Vikings saying it all.
The task for bettors only gets tougher from there. To help, here is a look at how Las Vegas feels about each game, along with a zoom in on three upset picks.
NFL Week 13 Odds
Odds courtesy of Odds Shark.
Top Underdogs Kansas City at Atlanta (-4)
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One of the week’s marquee games offers prime upset material, as cross-conference encounters often do.
The Kansas City Chiefs sit on an 8-3 record and have won six of their last seven games. The Atlanta Falcons are right there with them at 7-4, having won three of their last four.
In fact, the parallels between the two sides are interesting. Both teams lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams defeated the Denver Broncos and Oakland Raiders—on the road. Both also beat the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers.
So what gives?
Defense and turnovers.
Kansas City won’t blow anyone away on offense with numbers. Alex Smith has 10 touchdowns against four interceptions, and his backfield seems like a hodgepodge of names each week. So no, he won’t impress like say, Matt Ryan and his 26 touchdowns against six interceptions.
The Chiefs only permit an average of 19.5 points per game and boast 24 sacks and 13 interceptions, good for a plus-14 standing. This is a defense sure to give Ryan, whose line has already coughed up 27 sacks, big issues. If Ryan isn’t effective, the whole team leans on a defense allowing 27.5 points per game.
In a game with this many close calls, the underdog looks like a good roll. Kansas City’s ability to create a few …
