Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

The Cincinnati Bengals are 4-1 both straight up and against the spread in their last five rivalry meetings with Cleveland Browns, including a sweep of the season series last year. The struggling Bengals hope for more of the same when they host the Browns on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium.

Point spread: The Bengals opened as 10.5-point favorites; the total was 45.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report.)

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 33.2-14.6 Bengals (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Browns can cover the spread

Cleveland may be winless at 0-6, but it is 2-2 ATS over its last four games and should be better than that. Last week, the Browns came up with a back-door cover against the Tennessee Titans. Three weeks ago, they led Washington into the fourth quarter, before giving up the last 14 points of the game to miss the cover by four. And earlier this year, they let the Baltimore Ravens score the final 25 points to miss the cover by one.

So with the turn of a play here and there, Cleveland could be 4-1 ATS over the last month-plus, …

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