NFL Week 6 Picks: Game-by-Game Over-Under Predictions

Even more amazing than Vegas’ ability to put lines to different matchups is the ability for our friends in the desert to come up with a total for each game that usually ends up coming close. 

Last week, the NFL played 14 games from Thursday to Sunday. Seven went under the Vegas point total. The other seven hit the over, per TeamRankings. 

Wizardry. 

Figuring out which game is going to be a shootout and which game will be a war of attrition has benefits beyond gambling, though. Picking out the scorefests in the lineup is great for targeting fantasy football options for both daily fantasy leagues and start ’em, sit ’em situations. 

Here is the complete slate in terms of over-unders and a look at some matchups to consider for fantasy purposes based on the latest point totals from Odds Shark. 

Games to Target

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders are for real, and it has little to do with Khalil Mack and the defense. The Silver and Black are 4-1 on the season, but with the exception of a 17-10 road win over the Tennessee Titans, every game has been a shootout. 

Derek Carr has already taken a leap forward from last season. He’s Pro Football Focus’ second-highest-rated quarterback thus far in the season:

Highest-graded NFL QBs this season:1. Carson Wentz, @Eagles2. Derek Carr, @RAIDERS3. Andrew Luck, @Colts4. Sam Bradford, @Vikings pic.twitter.com/MmTg7YWWrK

— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) October 11, 2016

Carr throwing to Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree has already developed into a three-headed monster that has accounted for 811 yards and six touchdowns. 

Now Oakland gets a Kansas City defense that might have a good reputation but hasn’t exactly performed well on the road this season. The Chiefs gave up 19 points in a loss to the …

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