Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

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The New England Patriots (4-1) will try to beat the Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) for the sixth time in seven meetings when they host them Sunday as solid home favorites.

New England fans will welcome quarterback Tom Brady to Gillette Stadium for the first time this season after he led the team to a 33-13 rout of the Cleveland Browns as a 10-point road favorite in his return last week.

        

Point spread: The Patriots opened as eight-point favorites; the total was 47 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 31.4-15.6 Patriots (NFL picks on every game)

           

Why the Bengals can cover the spread

Like just about every game with Brady in the lineup, the perception is that the Patriots are overpriced based on the betting public. As one of the most popular teams on which to wager, New England seems to be favored by too many points in this spot, especially against a dangerous Cincinnati team that has underachieved so far this year.

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