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NFL Predictions Week 4: Fantasy Projections and Guide to Latest Vegas Odds
- Updated: October 1, 2016
It might seem hard to believe, but we’ve already reached October and the fourth week of the fantasy football season—which kicked off on Thursday night when the Cincinnati Bengals blasted the Miami Dolphins 22-7.
We’ve learned quite a bit about the fantasy landscape over the first three weeks of the 2016 season, even though injuries and matchups have done their best to cloud the situation. Patterns are beginning to emerge that should give us some insight into what the future holds.
Quarterback Trevor Siemian, for example, seems to be settling in nicely for the Denver Broncos. Meanwhile, San Francisco 49ers quarterback Blaine Gabbert appears to be on the decline.
We’re going to use some of what we’ve learned through the first three weeks and apply it to the remaining slate of Week 4 games.
We’ll be taking a close look at some potential fantasy studs, but first, let’s take a look at the Week 4 odds, courtesy of Odds Shark.
Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers
San Diego Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers has long been a respectable fantasy starter. Though the Chargers have missed the playoffs in each of the past two seasons, Rivers has passed for 9,078 yards and 60 touchdowns during that span.
Rivers is off to a strong start in 2016 as well, despite having already lost quality pass-catchers like Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead. Through three weeks, he has racked up 789 passing yards and five touchdowns with zero interceptions.
Rivers has done a tremendous job of spreading the ball around while still getting it to playmakers like Travis Benjamin (17 receptions, 229 yards) and Tyrell Williams (11 receptions, 201 yards). He has also proved to be as accurate as ever with his current supporting cast.
Rivers’ current completion percentage of 68.7 is nearly four points higher than his career completion percentage of 64.9.
Last week, Rivers torched the Indianapolis Colts for 326 yards, though he failed to score a touchdown. He has another favorable matchup this week at home against the New Orleans Saints.
Pro Football Focus rates the Colts 32nd in pass coverage through Thursday night of Week 4. The Saints are rated just above them at …